USASI
Model release

TimesFM 3.0

Release in the TimesFM family · version 3.0 (google/timesfm-3.0-pytorch)

Maintained by Google Research14

TimesFM 3.0 is a Google Research time-series forecasting model released in August 2026. Google's announcement gives it 330 million parameters and describes native multivariate forecasting, support for past-only and past-and-future covariates, and probabilistic forecasts with nine quantiles. The model card lists a 20-layer transformer architecture.174

Last reviewedEntry updated Documented release Aug 2026

Availability and license

Overall availability

Public

Weights are downloadable from Hugging Face without an access gate, but only for non-commercial, non-production use under the TimesFM Non-Commercial License v1.0. Commercial and production use is offered through Google Cloud services such as BigQuery ML.234

Availability is separate from permission: read the license before using or redistributing.

The TimesFM Non-Commercial License v1.0 is issued by Google LLC. It grants a personal, non-transferable, revocable license to use and create derivatives only for non-commercial purposes, which it defines to exclude revenue-generating activity, production systems, interactions with end users, and training or distilling other models for commercial use. It prohibits distributing the model or derivatives. Model outputs are not treated as derivatives, but the restrictions also bar using outputs for commercial or production purposes. The repository notes that earlier TimesFM weights (up to 2.5) remain under Apache 2.0.34

Model-disclosure tier

Computed from the checklist below using USASI rubric v0.1. An editorial category, not a certification.
Model-disclosure tier (USASI rubric v0.1): Open-weight

The model parameters for this release can be downloaded by the public. License terms may still restrict use, redistribution, or commercial use.

The weights are under a license that is not on the rubric's OSI-approved list. Read its terms before use.

How tiers are computed

Public materials checklist

Items for a model under USASI rubric v0.1. Unknown means unassessed or insufficient evidence.
Public materials checklist for TimesFM 3.0
ItemStatusNotes and evidence
WeightsCan the general public download the model parameters for this release?PublicWeights (safetensors) are published on Hugging Face without an access gate, under a non-commercial license.21
Inference codeIs code for running the model published?PublicThe Apache-2.0 timesfm package (PyPI "timesfm") includes TimesFM 3.0 inference code with PyTorch and Apple MLX backends; the README gives usage examples.465
Training codeIs the code used to train the model published?UnknownThe repository includes a fine-tuning example (Transformers with PEFT/LoRA), added in April 2026 before the 3.0 release; no pre-training code for TimesFM 3.0 was found.4
Training-data informationPublic = the training data itself can be obtained. Partial = composition or sources are documented without full access.PartialThe model card lists GiftEvalPretrain (excluding datasets overlapping with fev-bench), Wikipedia pageviews, Google Trends top queries, and synthetic and augmented data. The synthetic data is not documented as released.1
Training recipeAre the training configuration and procedure documented in enough detail to follow?UnknownThe model card lists architecture settings, and the blog post describes the approach at a high level; no technical report for version 3.0 was found.17
Evaluation materialsPublic = evaluation code or prompts that let others re-run the evaluations are published. Partial = results only.PartialThe README and blog report benchmark standings on fev-bench, TIME, and GIFT-Eval; code to re-run those evaluations for this release was not identified.47

What it is useful for

The repository presents TimesFM 3.0 for zero-shot univariate and multivariate forecasting with covariates. Its weights license limits downloaded use to non-commercial, non-production purposes.43

Run and use notes

Documented facts only. No hardware or performance claims are made without a cited source and stated assumptions.
  • The README documents installation with "pip install timesfm[torch]" or "pip install timesfm[mlx]" (MLX-native inference on Apple silicon without PyTorch) and notes that contexts longer than 15,360 points are truncated to the most recent points.4

Organization context

Provenance and derivatives

Trained by Google Research. The model card lists training data from GiftEvalPretrain, Wikipedia pageviews, Google Trends, and synthetic data. No other base model is named.1

Other releases in the TimesFM family

TimesFM family overview

In the news

Dated, sourced updates in this catalog's news that mention this entry.
  1. · License change

    Google releases TimesFM 3.0 weights under a non-commercial license

    Google Research released TimesFM 3.0, a time-series forecasting model, in August 2026 under the TimesFM Non-Commercial License v1.0 instead of the Apache 2.0 license used for earlier TimesFM weights. The license allows use of the weights only for non-commercial purposes and prohibits redistributing them; the repository says commercial and production use of TimesFM 3.0 is permitted through authorized Google Cloud services such as BigQuery ML. Weights up to version 2.5 and the TimesFM source code remain under Apache 2.0.

U.S. eligibility

Project eligibility rests on documented governing or maintaining entities, not on contributors.

Eligible · basis: Documented U.S. control

The model card states TimesFM was developed by Google Research, and the weights license is issued by Google LLC. Alphabet Inc.'s fiscal 2025 Form 10-K lists its principal executive offices in Mountain View, California, and Exhibit 21.01 lists Google LLC as a Delaware subsidiary of Alphabet.1389

Assessed Sep 29, 2026

Sources

  1. 1.
    google/timesfm-3.0-pytorch model card (external site: huggingface.co)

    Google Research (Hugging Face) · Model card · accessed Sep 29, 2026

  2. 2.
  3. 3.
    TimesFM Non-Commercial License v1.0 (external site: huggingface.co)

    Google LLC (Hugging Face) · License · accessed Sep 29, 2026

  4. 4.
    google-research/timesfm README (external site: raw.githubusercontent.com)

    Google Research · Repository · accessed Sep 29, 2026

  5. 5.
  6. 6.
    timesfm on PyPI (JSON metadata) (external site: pypi.org)

    Python Package Index · Release notes · accessed Sep 29, 2026

  7. 7.
    TimesFM-3: A zero-shot foundation model for multivariate forecasting (external site: research.google)

    Google Research · Announcement · published Aug 31, 2026 · accessed Sep 29, 2026

  8. 8.
    Alphabet Inc. Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2025 (external site: sec.gov)

    Alphabet Inc. (via U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR) · Filing · accessed Sep 29, 2026

  9. 9.
    Alphabet Inc. Form 10-K fiscal 2025, Exhibit 21.01 (subsidiaries) (external site: sec.gov)

    Alphabet Inc. (via U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission EDGAR) · Filing · accessed Sep 29, 2026

This listing is not an endorsement, a safety assessment, or a federal approval.

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